B.C. Election 2026 — Day 32 Brief

Day 32 in 30 seconds

Three new final-day polls: Research Co. measures Conservatives 44%, NDP 40%, Greens 10%; Ipsos finds 44 / 39 / 13, and Pollara 42 / 37 / 13 among decided respondents. [1][2][3]
Leadership debate, not leadership change: Eby acknowledged frustration over the snap election; Doerkson rejected his criticism and said he intended to continue as Conservative leader. [4]
Local-provincial crossover: Surrey mayor-elect Doug McCallum's Oct. 22 endorsement of the Conservatives was newly reported on Oct. 23; it was not a municipal-government decision. [7][11]
Tomorrow's count: Final Voting Day ballots will be hand-counted; advance-vote tabulators are expected to report first. Mail and absentee ballots await the final count. [5][6]

What changed on Day 32

What changed on Day 32
AREA	CONFIRMED DEVELOPMENT / ANNOUNCEMENT	STATUS / CONTEXT
Research Co.	Oct. 23 release: 44% Conservative, 40% NDP, 10% Green; OneBC and CentreBC at 2% each. [1]	Oct. 21-23 online sample, 802 likely voters; 722 decided.
Ipsos & Pollara	Oct. 23 releases: Ipsos 44 / 39 / 13; Pollara 42 / 37 / 13 (Con / NDP / Green). [2][3]	Different field periods and modes; neither result forecasts seats.
NDP / Eby	Oct. 23: Eby said he should have better explained the early election call; made a final-day appeal in Surrey. [4]	Confirmed interview and activity; criticism of rivals is attributed political speech.
Conservatives	Oct. 23: Doerkson appeared in Vancouver-Point Grey and rejected Eby's characterization of his leadership. [4]	Interim leader unchanged; no new province-wide pledge verified.
Surrey crossover	Oct. 23 reporting confirmed mayor-elect McCallum endorsed Conservatives at an Oct. 22 Surrey rally. [7][11]	Newly reported; event was last night. Personal endorsement only.
Elections BC	Oct. 23 voting guidance clarifies results release, ballot receipt deadlines and election-day restrictions. [5][6]	Vote-count procedures confirmed; final vote is Oct. 24.

Campaign framing at close of Day 32

BC NDP — David Eby. Surrey, Coquitlam and Langley closing appearances; Eby acknowledged shortcomings in explaining the snap election. No newly verified major policy commitment. [4]

BC Conservatives — Lorne Doerkson. Campaigned in Eby's Vancouver-Point Grey riding; disputed NDP leadership allegations. No verified formal change of leader or caucus. [4]

BC Greens — Emily Lowan. Oct. 23 Sidney campaign activities were scheduled; completion not independently verified. No new province-wide commitment confirmed. [10]

CentreBC — Elenore Sturko. Included at 1-2% in new Ipsos/Research Co. decided-voter polling; no verified Day 32 leadership, nomination or major policy change. [1][2][8]

OneBC — Dallas Brodie. Included at 2% in Ipsos/Research Co. polling; no verified Day 32 leadership, candidate-status or major policy change. [1][2][8]

Election clock

Election clock
DATE	MILESTONE	MEANING AT CUTOFF
OCT 23	Day 32: final full campaign day; final surveys and campaign closing messages published. [1][2][3][4]	End-of-day report.
OCT 24	Final Voting Day, 8 a.m.-8 p.m. Pacific. In-person district-office voting ends at 4 p.m.; mail-ballot receipt by 8 p.m. [6]	Preliminary returns after 8 p.m.; new poll release restricted until polls close.
NOV 6-10	Scheduled final count, including mail, assisted telephone and absentee ballots not in election-night returns. [5][6]	Close ridings may remain unresolved until final count.

Polling | three releases on October 23

Polling | three releases on October 23
Firm / source	Fieldwork, sample and method	Con.	NDP	Greens
Research Co. [1]	Oct. 21-23; n=802 likely voters (722 decided); online	44%	40%	10%
Ipsos [2]	Oct. 20-22; n=1,260 adults; online + live phone	44%	39%	13%
Pollara [3]	Oct. 15-21; n=2,202 adults; online + IVR	42%	37%	13%

Method: Percentages are among decided respondents, not a forecast of seats or turnout. Modes, populations, weighting and undecided treatment differ. Ipsos reports a credibility interval (±3.3 points); Research Co. uses online sampling; Pollara's ±2.1-point figure is hypothetical for a probability sample, not a conventional margin of error for its mixed sample. Do not read inter-firm differences as a same-sample trend. [1][2][3]

Provincial-local election overlap

Surrey: At an Oct. 22 Conservative rally, mayor-elect Doug McCallum, elected in the Oct. 17 local election, endorsed Doerkson. Former mayors Dianne Watts and Linda Hepner also appeared. Reporting on Oct. 23 confirms the endorsement but does not turn it into a City of Surrey resolution, a provincial-municipal agreement or a funded transit plan. [7][11]

Elsewhere: No newly verified Oct. 23 provincial implementation agreement arising from the Oct. 17 local elections was identified.

What to watch on Day 33

Voting and results: final-location changes, hand-count reporting pace, and preliminary returns after 8 p.m.; distinguish counted ballots from those held for Nov. 6-10. [5][6]
Election-day rules: pre-close embargo on newly published poll results, advertising restrictions and 100-metre limits around voting places. [6]
Candidate and party records: verify late claims against Elections BC, rather than treating campaign statements as official nominations or legislative switches. [8]

Scope note: Public-source review of developments dated Oct. 23, available by 8:41 p.m. Pacific. This brief distinguishes polling releases, direct reporting, party statements and official election guidance. No independently verified Day 32 provincial leadership change, MLA floor-crossing, formal candidate withdrawal or major new province-wide policy commitment was identified. The 891,348 preliminary advance-vote total was released Oct. 22 and is not presented as new. [9]

Scope note: This is a factual public-source monitoring brief. It does not endorse, oppose, rank, or recommend any party, leader, candidate, or electoral choice.

Sources

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